The plain-words version, for everyone. Every number below shows where it came from and when.
Our assessment: “Extreme” — this page's own editorial rating, not an official scale. It fits because the season is among the worst on record by hotspot count, station air readings ran to about five times the hazardous threshold, and the fires were still growing on the last day checked. It is not “Catastrophic”: the season's total burned area (~0.9 million ha, Indonesia-wide) remains well below 2015 (~2.6 million ha) and 2019 (~1.65 million ha) — “worst since 2015” holds by hotspot count, not by area.
How the levels are set: Moderate — burning localised, air mostly healthy · Serious — several districts burning, air unhealthy in places · Severe — a major peat belt alight for weeks, hazardous air in at least one town · Extreme — a worst-tier season by hotspot count, air several times the hazardous threshold, still growing at the last check · Catastrophic — 2015 scale: millions of hectares burned, a regional haze emergency.
In one sentence: a huge area of Borneo's peatland is burning, the smoke has made the air dangerous to breathe in whole towns, and it is still not out.
Running total of daily FIRMS detections, 10–17 Oct. Marker = selected day.
New footprint per day = daily detections × 0.1406 km² (one 375 m pixel). A proxy — repeat overpasses inflate it; use for shape, not hectares.
A Sukamara coast → B Tanjung Puting → C Pulang Pisau. Indicative lowland elevations. The point of this panel: there is no slope story here — drainage and peat dryness, not terrain, drive this fire.
Each finding is tied to the plotted FIRMS data above; modelled elements are flagged.
A near-continuous southern peat belt (2–4°S, 110–115°E) holds 20,205 of 28,084 detections (71.9%). The old headline is gone: a tight Kendawangan box (110.0–110.9°E, 1.8–2.6°S) records only 242 detections all week. Longitude shares tell the same story — 64.3% of detections sit between 111°E and 114.5°E, against 9.8% west of 111°E and 25.9% east of 114.5°E.
10,261 detections (36.5%) inside the sector box (113.0–114.8°E, 1.5–3.2°S), centroid ≈ 2.51°S, 113.83°E — and it was still accelerating at the end of the window: 2,881 detections on 16–17 Oct, 1,794 on 17 Oct alone. Mean FRP is only 4.4 MW (max 205.4 MW): broad, persistent peat burning rather than a few intense fronts.
The densest 0.25° cell sits on the south coast at 3.00–3.25°S, 110.50–110.75°E (Sukamara/Lamandau coast, west of Pangkalan Bun) — 1,791 detections in the window, 528 of them on 16–17 Oct. The second core is the Kotawaringin / Tanjung Puting sector (1,620 detections; NOAA-20: 2,042), including a 0.25° cell at 3.25°S, 112.0°E with 1,432 detections.
17 Oct logged 4,825 detections, the window's second-busiest day. Across the week 21,086 of 28,084 detections (75%) came at night — VIIRS keeps seeing heat after dark because peat smoulders continuously. Total FRP for the window: 171,320 MW; strongest single detection 843 MW (11 Oct, west coast). NOAA-20 independently records 31,422 detections over the same ground — same geography, different overpasses.
All-Kalimantan context · VIIRS 375 m detections by longitude band, 10–17 Oct 2026 · Suomi NPP · band FRP components rounded (window total 171,320 MW)
Modelled snapshot, Sat 17 Oct ~22:00 WIB · air quality: US AQI (modelled, CAMS via Open-Meteo) · wind at 10 m
Surface winds across the southern fire zone blow from the south to south-east at 6–9 km/h, carrying smoke inland toward Palangka Raya and Kapuas. The severity section above uses Indonesia's ISPU station readings (Katingan 1,551; Palangka Raya 1,294 on 15 Oct) — ISPU and the US AQI on these cards are different scales, and their numbers are not comparable. The cards are CAMS model estimates, not ground sensors.